Does CO2 Create Global Warming
I started this quest trying to find
how CO2 was measured and what data sets were used to support the
greenhouse hypothesis. I did not find
what I expected.
I expected to have an average of CO2
level that had been compiled from multiple stations scattered about the
globe, and from that data I would be able to determine the standard of deviations
collect from the samples to create a global mean. What I have found is that
they primarily base their modeling on a few stations. Primarily, the Mauna Loa
Observatory, in Hawaii. Most of the other stations that data is used from have similar
characteristics. Most are in high altitude regions, and enjoy cold and dry
climates, with a few exceptions. One being America Samoa, located between New Zealand
and Hawaii, and not at a high elevation.
This I have deduced is important from
the way that CO2 is measured, they pass infrared wavelength through
the sample, and measure how much of the wavelength was absorbed to determine
the number of particles that are contained in the sample. Before they can do
this they have to remove the remaining particles of water from the sample. That
led me to think that the absorption rate for H2O was similar to the absorption
rate of CO2. I am still researching this data, and will not cover it
here.
This is an important factor, since H2O
makes up a greater percentage of atmospheric gases than CO2 even at
higher altitudes. We are talking levels approaching
100 times greater than CO2 at high altitudes. Something like 30,000
ppm (particles per million) to roughly 372 ppm of CO2.
To me this has led to an Emperor has
no cloths scenario. In which we are told that if you cannot see the effects of
global warming, you are uneducated or a fool. And that 98% of all scientist believe in anthropologic
global warming. Is this true or are they afraid of being labeled a fool?
To be clear I am not a scientist, and
I believe that human activity does have an effect on the overall climate.
Whether this is good or bad depends on the criteria you use, or what you
measure.
I will not argue that to date human
activity has exacerbated natural weather events. It is hard to dismiss the Dust
bowl created in the 1930’s as just a drought. The drought may have been a
natural occurrence, however, it was made worse by poor land management
practices, and the introduction of mechanized farming. And the 1995 flood
reached record levels because of changes to the Missouri, Mississippi Rivers,
and the surrounding flood plain areas.
We are taught in grade school of the
water cycle. Carbon also has a cycle. This can clearly be seen in the data
collected from Mauna Loa. In the winter CO2 levels rise because more
CO2 is produced than used. Then it starts falling in the spring
until it reaches its minimum for the year in fall and starts rising again.
The best model to explain this season
cycle is a tree. A tree buds in the spring and starts to develop leaves, which
are used for photosynthesis. Photosynthesis combines CO2 from the
air with H2O with the energy of sunlight to create sugars that are used
to grow the tree, and they exhale O2. Now the sugars that are used
to grow the tree become sequestered in the new growth on the tree, and this
carbon will remain sequestered until the tree dies and deteriorates. Now in the
fall, the leaves lose their function and fall off of the tree. These leaves
will deteriorate and release their carbon as CO2. This is the simple
explanation for the seasonal variations of CO2.
Where everything falls apart for me
is when you contribute all the ills of global warming to CO2 and
seem to ignore more prevalent gases that make up the atmosphere. For years, we
have been taking sequestered H2O from the ground and using it in
high desert environments. Could this not also have the effect they have been
placing on carbon? That is why I question the motivation. Who can they get more
money from? Big oil, or millions of smaller users of water? Who makes a better villain?
An oil company or a farmer? And don’t complain with your mouth full.
I do not argue that CO2
has been rising over the past century. I just think that there is a possibility
that this rise could be a result of climate change, not a driving force. After
all, look at the seasonal fluctuations now. Could this not be happening on a
larger scale as growth cycle lengthen and create more new growth? Then when the
climate becomes less beneficial, could not this new growth add to the total
rise in CO2 as it dies off and deteriorates at a faster pace than
new growth? Thus becoming a lagging indicator instead of a predictor.
With the climate models based on
educated guesses, instead of factual data, climate change has become settled
politics, not settled science. You tell me we must act now to stop global
warming. What if you are wrong and looking at the wrong criteria? Could you not be causing more harm instead of
stopping a perceived threat?
So, I will set here among the
uneducated fools and say. “The Emperor has no cloths.” Until, you can produce
factual, unbiased data.
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